Every pick we make — win or lose — tracked with paper money first. No cherry-picking. See for yourself.
Every pick — wins and losses — tracked with paper money first, so you can see if the model works before risking a dollar. Some weeks we lose. That's the game. We play the long game.
If the two numbers are close, the model's probabilities are trustworthy — not overfit or overconfident. A ✓ means within 6 points of perfect. That's the standard.
The long game is the only game. A 48% hit rate with positive ROI is not a bug — it means our winning picks pay more than our losing picks cost. Discipline beats luck every time. Track the record. Trust the process.
